If you cannot calculate whether the odds are in your favor or the house’ favor, then simply rely on human nature as you’re guide… Whoever is making the rules invariably gives themselves the benefit of the doubt or the cushion. For example, in the 2021 it was in 21 league championship series where the dodgers are playing the Atlanta Braves, clearly the braves have the advantage and yet they continue to place the dodgers as it’s the dodgers as the favorite thus lowering the odds or payback should they win. There’s probably a flipside to that coin as well…
As I said a couple 2 or 3 decades ago, when times are good and you feel bad, what are you gonna feel like when times are bad?